比特币经济学 7 : 路径
Recreating Economics based on Bitcoin : Reimagining the world economic landscape based on a new perspective of BitcoinSV #
CONTENTS (目录) #
比特币经济学 : 首页
比特币经济学 1 : 开讲
比特币经济学 2 : 法律
比特币经济学 3 : CSW
比特币经济学 4 : 法币崩溃
比特币经济学 5 : 核心概念定调
比特币经济学 6 : 经济危机 HOT !!!
比特币经济学 7 : 路径 HOT !!!
比特币经济学 8 : 万链归一
比特币经济学 9 : 产业区块链
比特币经济学 10 : 去中心化
比特币经济学 11 : 代际剥削
比特币经济学 12 : 族群矛盾
READ MORE (更多文章)……
Conversation : 2020.4.11 ~ 4.14 #
Today we talk about the possibility of BSV changing the order in which the world is realized. The first stage is the infancy of BSV, whose main goal is survival.
- Completed the legal confirmation of satoshi nakamoto’s identity through legal proceedings, cryptographic confirmation of satoshi nakamoto’s identity through tulip unsealing, and completed the legal replacement of BTC block chain.
- By legalizing and regulating token issuance, phase out illegal fund-raising icos, formalize token digital financing paths for legitimate and reasonable projects, and complete the integration of digital financial system that integrates ten thousand COINS into one coin.
- Through the network effect in the block chain field, gradually establish the underlying industry standard in the block chain field, attract all kinds of industry chains to carry out ecological migration through the first-mover advantage of the industry, and complete the application integration of the block chain industry where chain circle and chain converge. 4, through block chain of the emerging technology credit bonus, complete the upgrading to the traditional Internet and mobile Internet ecological chain on the Internet (Metanet), made all of enterprise application block can complete industry chain industry chain of credit assignment, phasing out backward reaction of the information industry enterprises, to achieve chain block chain in the field of all things.
Second, when the BSV formally through the primary stage, will have a more clear market standards and profit model and the use of scenario, the mysteries of the BSV be opened completely, in this case, the block chain application will be officially entered the international political field of vision, in order not to let their country in the emerging industry on the track behind, governments will have corresponding measures, when the BSV began to trot.
1, there will be some of the government, the lack of competition ability in traditional financial track, traditional information and financial industry chain industry in emerging area of pressing force is not strong, these countries will be completed early BSV legal compliance to try, the main behavior including allowing BSV industry in the country’s development and the promotion, or even personally involved in the government of Metanet model building of application scenarios.
2, when the BSV start a prairie fire trend has become, there will be more and more countries will be the original support block chain industry ecological parallel migration to the BSV, complete the BSV ecological niche in the competition, even we know some national projects such as digital currency DCEP, CBDC, Libra will use BSV chain blocks the underlying technology for application of the widespread popularization and internationalization, however at this time, niche competition ability is not equal to ecological viability, tried a lot of chain and standard will fail in the competition gradually or wither, The basic features of ecological user experience, diversity, robustness and efficiency on the BSV chain will be gradually guaranteed due to the competition of industry standards.
3, after the BSV application scenarios and field gradually strengthen, BSV may produce larger financial liquidity crisis, for many causes the liquidity risk of the financial system, financial regulation country this time a minimum consensus based block chain industry international alliance will appear, some countries will be the first to complete block chain clairvoyance the formulation and implementation of international law, the initial size of the union may not be large, but may be because of its unique industrial advantages, and constantly absorbing new international force, finally become an almost can keep pace with the dollar system of the international union of chain blocks, Lay the foundation for the internationalization legislation of bitcoin. When bitcoin’s international political status is established, bitcoin has basically completed its growth stage. At this stage, bitcoin is very difficult to kill.
Third, when the rules of bitcoin internationalization were basically established and an international legal guarantee system dominated by national alliances was formed, bitcoin officially entered the boom period and was able to compete with the modern dollar system.
1, with COINS first mover advantage, will gradually adapt to the currency of logic, non-inflationary economic system will gradually began to BSV as the national foreign trade settlement currency and the country’s financial reserves, the first countries to do so will have two sets of monetary credit system, the traditional legal tender system and digital currency BSV system and legal tender for this time of the system of super hair will make two sets of system of system power shift, fiat system of credit loss will undertake by digital currency BSV, gradually and fiat will bring credit system collapse will because the country, with a second set of credit system but not disastrous influence on the national economy, To complete the rescue of legal currency victims by digital currency Noah’s ark, the debt recovery effect of the financial system will completely solve the huge burden of the high debt of the legal currency system on the national finance, so that the emerging countries of the digital currency financial system can lead the economy in the international competition.
2, the precedent for digital currency demonstration effect, the BSV worldwide popularity will get a great push, BSV will become the main currency of the global trade and the main reserve currency, China’s foreign exchange reserves the country behind the BSV alliance will have great military resistance ability, makes the BSV system is no longer possible was destroyed by a single big deterrent. To adhere to the traditional legal tender system, the military does not have the ability to crush the currency system, on the economy there are still huge traditional debt burden, on the development of international partners began to slowly does not depend on the dollar system support, fiat sink more and more small, adhere to the traditional legal tender system will face either wither or transformation of helpless choice, traditional legal tender system will completely faded, and the currency system by treaty subsidies can even take the initiative to attract the members joined, complete a firefight system transformation, the currency system based on the community of human destiny will complete the systemic integration of worldwide.
3, when the currency began to effect the global economic system, international disputes will be because of the structural problems of traditional UN makes increasingly acute contradictions, the UN’s work force will gradually be decision-making reform agenda, based on the rules of work force UN political structure will be able to better ensure that the United Nations always represents the best interests of all mankind the voice of the body, guarantee the law enforcement can be always calculate force response of the alliance, which had the currency financial system of law enforcement and security, by the end of this step is basic human civilization was completed from violent power model formally into credit model civilizations.
Finally, is the maturity of the currency system, in this period, the rules of the currency has been basically completed, the currency the main purpose of the establishment of the rules of the world system will be completed this sustainability logic construction of the world, makes the human civilization from construction after destruction, destruction before the power of the curse, as well as get rid of conflict because of unbalanced development of old and new forces of Richmond thucydides trap, with the natural development process of human tissue (birth, growth, death) of routinization, rather than the regional organization of natural death to bring the disaster of mankind (large war and the global financial crisis).
1, complete the currency system of military tailoring agreement and nuclear disarmament agreement, eliminate human aim their weapons, can be done through the way of gradual military resources from all countries on the chain, nuclear facilities, military supplies capacity chain chain, chain, military flow information on military disarmament financial pledge type intelligent methods such as contract, complete the system of military transparency and the executable, and eliminate the cause of the war - fear chain suspicion, because even if individual countries to hide information also fail the currency wars of aggression and plunder wealth (because of the international court of justice has reverse transfer power). However, the smart contract default risk brought by the concealment of information and the huge exposure risk of the military investment trace will gradually make the country gradually lose the ability of large-scale war violence, which will make military disarmament and nuclear disarmament are the pareto optimal solution in economy and politics for all countries.
2, when the countries and regions are losing ability of military violence after the human need to set out to build based on the limited liability of the government’s logic structure of bankruptcy, can first try to by some developed regions, mature slowly promotion, makes the geopolitical game logic, logical transition from violence thoroughly and order logic to economy, bankruptcy and makes city national bankruptcy routinization, make all forms of human tissue is to serve the people not the other way round slavery or control people.
3, through election cycle, equality, equity type city power logic chain election (see 3.3 to 3.8 blocks game), completed the political power of the poor to liquidate the bottom of the poor survival problems to solve the problem, because the city power capitalization stock right logic, can make the daily management of the city a good reaction on the city’s share price, make politics is no longer a zero-sum game winner take all, even if the political election is faced with bankruptcy cities and city stock appreciation of dual performance standards, professional politicians will become ordinary professional and professional managers, the politician’s usual words, lifelong professional, high salary will be possible.
4, people begin to gradually used to the new normal political logic of economic, all political issues will become can be quantified, such as land rights, immigration of new problems, social development, parity social costs, elitism will gradually replace traditional egalitarian ethos, human form of organizations such as companies, city, state (city) will remain motivated because of the global economic competition issues, like Darwin’s theory of evolution continues to evolve.
The above content is what I think of the currency to bring a new perspective of economics, and the traditional perspective is certainly there are many different countries, if the economic theory was widely circulated, may speed up the arrival time of each key nodes, but overall development order should not bad too much, from the perspective of the world can see the currency block chain state power is the biggest logic transformation logic to the currency block power logic chain of honesty, the significance of the system to the whole human civilization is very big, can only rely on the honesty and honest world path and the system to achieve, as long as the BSV no death, Other block chain regardless of technology, strength, financial have how old influence, cannot bypass a lie divide - with what the chain can be replaced by copying the idea that the hearing in the in the power system, which is why I said BSV, if - they don’t block chain areas there will be no survivors, not to mention money circle the fraudster mouth all day long to run the train.
Today we will talk about the differences between the bitcoin economic system and the contemporary legal currency economic system.
First of all, the bitcoin economic system is a non-inflationary system, while the contemporary legal currency system is an inflationary system. This logic will make the underlying logic of the two economic systems turn upside down.
1, save money in inflation system is a kind of risk behavior by the threat of inflation, people in order to preserve wealth was forced to put the money in the bank, fund, stock market, bond market, housing, and other areas of the non-monetary, hey promoted the short-term prosperity development of these areas, from the bad side, it also makes a big to fail Banks in the financial system has given rise to various regular an asset bubble burst and the system of credit risk. And in the currency in the world, in addition to cash itself, all of the world’s financial behavior will produce obvious risk, including investment bonds and deposit interest is not exceptional also, countries may because of debts, Banks may be bankruptcy, the currency the world will not exist modern central bank finally bear the institutions, the main factors of people against the risk will be the currency savings.
2, if the currency economic system ultimately successful, because the monetary itself in the currency system had the enough ability to resist inflation, other areas such as real estate, bonds, equity capital valuation model will be changed, a lot of assets of financial attributes will weaken or even completely faded, capital asset pricing model of pricing will be much lower than the inflation system, capital investment bubble or periodic financial bubble phenomenon such as real estate bubble will gradually reduce and eventually disappear.
3, the endowment insurance of people will not need this kind of public investment funds, because a person young time, money in the old time spending power will not reduce, so each pension will be possible to himself, everyone will be able to decide their own retirement age and retirement benefits, pension savings amount, the government only need to do for poverty alleviation is enough, most people will have no dependence on the government’s financial autonomy for life.
4, lending will become a kind of risk behaviors completely, because the country has no currency adjustment ability, could not have regular printing money used to cut down, so the deposit party will decide together lenders demand and supply and the change of the interest rate market, when the economy, interest rates will because lenders demand increases with the rise, when the economy worsens, the interest will decrease because lenders demand decreases, the market will automatically complete the interest adjustment work, when lenders a large number of default, old industry will also automatically industry, and won’t survive because of government subsidies, and release the market resources will be occupied by a new force, the efficiency of the complete system evolution.
Second, the currency world power system is a system based on honesty and justice, this and the traditional legal tender in even metal currency has a huge difference, the currency monetary system will not like traditional monetary system attached to the machine (that is, countries) violence, so the currency with the reverse constraint violence the ability of the machine.
1, in the traditional world, small to big robber behavior to ACTS of war, is accompanied by a large number of violent dividend action brought by a profit, robbed a ordinary people’s money or cash, or force the country to war reparations, violence can be very easy to find the cost, which makes the violence itself has also become a kind of output returns than business, and in order to stable economic development and people’s happiness, all countries have to develop military power to ensure the completeness of violence system, to ensure not to be a foreign invasion, this makes the state violence machine essentially have a reason to exist. However, the currency of the world to calculate force determines the economic logic, almost everyone can’t acquire wealth through violence, even if obtained, also can leave criminal evidence, money has been financial freeze can, which makes the violence is an infinite cost () is everyone will remember forever in block chain, and violent output is almost zero, this will allow violence sponsors the rapid loss of system support, so as to fundamentally curb the emergence and spread of violence.
- In traditional societies, the need for national security is placed before all long-term indicators such as economic development and people’s happiness. When countries have independent after the violence will, nationalism and even majority tyranny of populist nationalism thoughts will be collectivism chauvinism of the encroachment of humanism, and like the Nazi forces of militant violence will be more likely to win the initiative of the state apparatus, so as to make the mankind into mutual destruction of suspicion in the chain of fear, but the existence of nuclear weapons is exacerbated by the possibility of the destruction of human civilization. And COINS in the world because everyone is independent of state and government of economic security, the survival of most people will not be forced to tied to the wheel of collectivism and constitute a snowballing violence spread, and because the currency against violence and participants information symmetry properties of wealth, the currency system may even eliminate violence, from the root the basis of logic.
3, when the country is the launch point of all social activities, more reasonable to national security, and will try to to control many industries, such as military industry, information industry, energy industry, the financial industry, such as core industry, this is bound to cause concessions to state control of the market efficiency, and this kind of behavior will be more aggravate core nodes of big to fail, when after the occurrence of major crisis, countries have to spend a lot of economic resources to rescue these core economic node, to prevent the economy as a whole the overall landslide, it is for whole chain type a hidden under the economic crisis, China’s in every generation the demise of almost all more or less from this, if you want to completely get rid of this whole out of economic doom, the currency system of finite responsibility the government will be essential, only cut off the rotten, system can long-term health, otherwise no amount of anesthetic (subsidies or loan) cannot save a system was black and blue all over.
In the end, bitcoin’s power comes from bottom-up, honesty-cumulated logic, which is very different from the top-down, centralised logic of the traditional world.
1, in the contemporary society, all countries have right to the final definition of social activities, the thinking of political leaders will directly decide the ultimate fate of a system, wise leaders such as deng xiaoping can determine a billionaire population scale regional rapid rise, such as Hitler war jangkie can also be decided at the beginning the whole European war disaster, civilization from saint trend are easily destroyed by the hand of the devil. And COINS in the world, everyone with their purchasing power to build a market system selection standard, conform to the standards of entrepreneurs, and entrepreneurs in the victory of the war, the market has enough economic reserves, will have the ability of negotiations and local governments, entrepreneurs will let those who pay more attention to economic construction logic, more respect for the local government in the economic geography of market logic and order competition, entrepreneurs will go to ask the government to help people more to serve the society, the currency world will gradually fade out the role of politicians, will make the world a more stable and less affected by the political elite.
2, because the government completely lost COINS, the right of creditor’s rights, the government will have to attach importance to the economic cost of all decision-making dimension, values and social management ideas to cost control model of social transformation, the government’s open source and throttling survival event will be about the government system, and social needs will not the values of equality, democracy, freedom and vague slogan, but a quantifiable costs overall social governance model, carried out the government would cease to exist, the government’s actual income bring true by its level of management of the safety and steadiness of the social order and economic sustainability, The slogan democratic campaign strategy will be replaced by the long-term sustainable credit operation strategy. The government will pay attention to both the logic of the rich and the logic of the poor, because without the logic of the rich, the region will not develop, and without the logic of the poor, the region will not be stable. It will be the task of all governments to find the sustainable balance.
3, in the world of COINS, geopolitical logic will gradually be replaced by the economic geography of logic, many traditionally may need to force to solve territorial disputes and sovereignty dispute, may be just a land deal can be reached, rich city could purchase land to poor city, at the same time complete rich city urban land expansion and poverty subsidies, market price completely can be done through the market game. Reflecting on ordinary people, the living places of many people may be gradually covered by rich cities, and the failed government will be gradually replaced by the successful government, thus completing the peaceful diffusion of the new superior political system and the elimination of the conservative and backward political system.
Currency in the world is a set of complete system of economy, politics, philosophy, single out one aspect is one-sided, compared with traditional system from the perspective of history can understand human evolution logic order truly become a currency world view for human to make a real difference, really understand human faces problems underlying root system, to understand the world currency bring honesty what it means. Man had tried to overcome violence with philosophy and it turned into politics; Man has tried to subdue violence with science and engineering, and turned it into a heat weapon. Human beings have tried to use scientific theories to overcome violence, which eventually turned into nuclear weapons. Today, human beings finally have a new weapon – honesty, which I believe is the ultimate solution to overcome violence. Violence of contemporary human faces the prisoner’s dilemma, the government’s economic disaster, social improvement trap, populist up owing to the rigidity of the nature of problems originate from the government in the world political system of Nash equilibrium, but to get rid of this system of Nash equilibrium, human no way before, and now in the hearing brought a set of possible solutions to the human, this is the greatness, BSV system BSV is the new world of the modern world, and adventurers game has only just begun.
I have been with you said BSV is an era of transition level of opportunity, but at the same time the BSV project also contains a huge risk, it is sort of like a guess the size of the game, guess the is huge returns, but also there is the risk of wrong leads to compensate optical chips, so pay attention to risk management for the BSV outlook also apply, is the key to talk about the risk of BSV points today.
First of all, the BSV are faced with the risk of a lot of ecological construction, if within three to five COINS cycle is 12 to 20 years, ecological chain not prosperity, dig subsidies gradually disappear, wither BSV will likely face the chain enough infrastructure resources, and for now this is the inevitable outcome of all the other chain, only the BSV has the potential to solve this dilemma, but has the potential to not representative must be able to solve.
1, BSV current volume is relatively small, ecological chain of all formats are relatively young, there is no see find a market niche mature project, most projects still stays in the concept of trial and error and model verification phase, the amount of projects rarely have stable customers, has a stable mass of profitability and capital market endorsed in addition to dig mineral industry is the basic no project, if the situation continue for 10 years, so the currency of the ecological window of opportunity will gradually close.
2, at present many large multinational companies and countries are try to block chain in the field of application, due to the background support has a large force, so the long-term behavior of state subsidies in the field of chain block is more common, it also prevents a lot of logic should be in accordance with the market chain to a project and gradually develop their own chain USES ecological loss, if the BSV cannot cycle in three bits show a chain to a charisma, the industry chain of chain have long dominated logic will still be the mainstream investment logic block chain construction, when the industry chain to survive better than BSV, And when the trend cannot be reversed in a short period of time, BSV may not be able to support the 10,000 chain at the moment of the chain wither.
3, if BTC logic has not been in the short term market bubble, BTC supporters would have continued to denigrate the chung and even disrupt BSV the ability of financial market, if the tulip funds for legal penalty reason cannot verify CSW in this our identity, the logic of BSV no matter how promising and logic self-consistent, BTC logic no matter how flawed and dishonest, BSV is likely to be regulated by large capital market manipulation, ecological infrastructure and miners squeezes chain of living space.
Second, BSV is facing huge risk of political persecution, whether Dr CSW or Nchain team cognition or not or admit it or not, the currency of the world logic to the existing world political order of ecological constitutes a direct challenge, conservatism, interest group and the traditional order of the guardian in the face of this new order will surely have more or less discomfort, see what could be better, in control of persecution as a result of control isn’t even it is not impossible.
1, if the BSV the executive monopoly by the United States, the United States has completed the full control of the BSV the executive and legislative powers, the us government as a national game of weapons, so for the need of national security, all countries are likely to split out own country has the executive and legislative powers of bifurcate, BSV will likely be divided into national chain, such as China chain chain, chain in Europe, Japan and so on, is the best way to solve this possibility as soon as possible the development of the BSV alliance international law commission, complete the BSV block chain environment, political neutrality legislation against unilateralism and political demands.
2, many countries out of financial regulation requirements, in the early likely long-term ban BSV ecological development and use, it will greatly delay the BSV ecological development speed, reduce the BSV ecological sources of market share and profit increasing the BSV chain death process, the risk through ecological need BSV chain as quickly as possible and large-scale show industrial advantage, let miss outbreak of industry control national taste bitter, it would be as much as possible to reduce the amount of the country and controls the size of the complete BSV penetration of all areas.
3, the currency of the international union for the may face the traditional powers of political or military invasion, so the currency union at the beginning of the creation must be traditional permanent member of the United Nations security council level of state support, without the participation of great power, traditional BSV ecology must be no root wood, only traditional powers can offer BSV ecological needs of international legitimacy, political stability, military security and credit guarantee, also only to this step, the currency truly have the potential to change the rules of the underlying all mankind civilization, and before the COINS, all have no from risk.
Understand the best advantage of BSV logic is not know BSV will win, but know that the only open the right way to block chain is BSV, when subsidies to disappear, the people could not rely on a second single ability to transfer profits (BTC) to maintain an international financial system infrastructure, people could not rely on every piece of data is to switch to a chain, industry chain to complete block chain of ecological construction, and chain all currency circle logic in a departure from the astute vision, or dishonest money tray, or it’s a flash in the pan false application. Even BSV itself, however, is still facing the changing external environment and the ecological uncertainty, for the older investors must pay attention to the risk, for young people, it is definitely a very good chaoyang industry, because of the power of thought has come to this world, BSV even withered, really believe the currency spirit will not wither, this path is likely to become the best of this century industry development path, any effort on the basis of this, will not be in vain.
Discuss if the currency world today to become a reality, so the currency in the world after solve the problem of a lot of traditional society, new social problems may arise, these problems may be now society has some, such as the gap between rich and poor, it is possible that in the modern world without problems, such as affirmative doctrine to end, with a series of social imbalances, deal with these social problems, the currency world may still be degraded or even collapse.
First of all, the gap between rich and poor problem will still exist for a long time, the currency of the world is essentially a capitalist market economy as the underlying logic of the social form, in a market economy, people are always in a state of competition for the wealth, the wealth of the people in general is proportional to personal recognition ability of the power of time, this also means that even tiny individual recognition ability difference, accumulated in long enough time, will be a huge wealth difference to form the Matthew effect. And the world of information can be assigned to individual ability is very big, is good at using the information of social resources ability will far beyond people who do not good at, and the difference of individual ability to expand, will increase more wealth of Matthew effect, makes the strong stronger and the weak weaker, to solve this problem may need the following efforts:
1, to balance the differences between the rich and the poor, taxes logic is particularly important, in the aspect of social governance over the rich to collect taxes to subsidize the poor this method the underlying logic is no problem, the rich use part of their wealth to buy the social identity and is conducive to their long-term social environment, the safety of the rich to the poor to have bread not desperate, it is essentially a win-win, but the rich tax based on the pattern of income model or property seizures, makes the rich sense of security, lack of wealth and it virtually regardless of the person subjected to execution is the responsibility of the government, functional tax is government must mainly depend on tax source, And pay tax the rich nature becomes a rich man pay the fee to the government to buy social function, if the government is not very good with social function, social security, economic environment, social security), the nature of the tax would be less, if the government can provide good social function, can more tax, this will make the government system of multidimensional goal gradually to the single dimension target system, the government’s goal is to provide better social function, let the rich can have a more stable social order to create more wealth of the environment, the poor have more stable subsidies to cope with the financial position of the distress, Achieve a social function level of the rich and poor win-win situation.
2, as far as possible by way of inheritance tax, to complete the date of wealth, the protection of personal wealth can promote the wealth created by the social environment, excessive protection of inherited wealth can cause huge social gap, if there is no unified global tax standards, the rich can through migration settlement or hidden wealth to avoid loss between generations, so you can imagine this the world will gradually what, and what seed and seed of civilians will appear power inversion phenomenon, If civilians seed in the economic dimension beyond what seed (because in inflation in the society what seed wealth safeguard ability as long as he doesn’t spend money), then with a wealth of exploiting labor will appear a wide range of social phenomenon, and has the rich wealth of pig, the descendants of the lack of ability to what, is surely the bucket but unarmed people (seed) ability of civilians, violence will certainly be making a comeback. So the universal logic of an inheritance tax that is as high as possible (to give the rich enough security to keep their children alive but not to keep them stuck in the grip of a lifetime of wealth) is both a safeguard for the security of the rich and a guarantee for the transition of the poor, which is a win-win.
3, the socialization of private charitable logic, really efficient social poverty alleviation model many times from point-to-point private charity, let the rich use charitable wealth in exchange for social fame and social identity should be motivating the best social charity foundation, more wealth to the rich sense of privacy, the wealth of security and reasonable than moral requirements more conducive to encourage private charity logic, law can only ensure justice, procedural justice and cannot ensure the results and extensive affectionate relationship is the biggest driving force of the development of society, with legal guarantee the bottom line of the society, with charitable warm social ties, Would be the best solution to the gap between rich and poor.
Second, the government ability will be greatly restricted, the government deficit due to lost the sustainable debt and monetary expansion ability, can only through the government tax revenue to maintain the government function, but also faces enormous tax area geo-economic competition pressure, so various greatly narrowed the scope of their functions and powers of the government, many traditional areas need to participate in the role of the government, are likely to be a functional up to competitive enterprise, government capacity contraction will bring all sorts of traditional government business a variety of challenges.
1, the currency of the world, the unemployment rate could rise sharply market determinism would make the government lack of ability to adjust the unemployment, the government will not have a lot of resources to pull the rise in employment through investment in infrastructure, each job means a market demand, after digging holes filling holes of government oriented economic behavior will not be allowed on the cost, and automation of information age and artificial intelligent industry will greatly promote the unmanned and humanization business less popular, ordinary people will not be able to and machines, artificial intelligence algorithm to compete for jobs, the mechanization of repetitive labor jobs may disappear completely. Tolerating the social order shock of high unemployment could be an important test for governments in the bitcoin era. Capsule slum to meet the survival needs of the poor and game poverty alleviation to meet the spiritual needs of the poor will probably become an excessive means to cope with the change of social order, better means of compensation still need the future people to continue to try. A blood rain forest the truth is, if the need of society development, it must be laggards and first mover, and let the laggards and first mover has absolute equality is an impossible thing, any absolute equality of social commitment, finally will become various politicians upper or because of a stupid either deliberately deceive political lies.
- The supply side capacity of the bitcoin world will be greatly weakened and many industries will face contraction. Due to the inflation of the currency itself characteristic, people will have more cash to protect property, so a stock market bubble, the bond market bubble and the bubble will be hard to appear, asset prices will slash, stock prices, house prices will be relatively lower in modern society, and the currency credit made people will cope with the uncertainty of the future, more stored wealth rather than inflation world consumption in advance, the trend of consumption hedonism would decline, thrifty consumption trend will rise, it makes a lot of industry chain is affected by the huge consumer industries. High consumption and low security are the product of inflation economy, on the contrary, low consumption and high credit are the trend of non-inflation economy. We can put the People’s Bank of China as a modern shopping mall promoters, he all the time want to pay each person every coin, as to the system security of wealth, it is not responsible for it, because other central Banks also do promoters, Keynesian is a kind of nationalism to the encroachment of humanism, there are too many in Keynes’s economic mode of guo jin min tui phenomenon, the currency will change this world trend, and the price may be high failure rate and excessive production capacity, industry in the early shrinkage phenomenon.
3, absolutely affirmative doctrine will gradually quit the historical stage, people gradually realize that absolute power equality will be neither efficient nor can the concept of executive force, “universal goodness and absolute equality” will be the last of the human social institutionalization needed widely to overcome the shortcomings, replaced by the concept of social cost issues should be affirmative, if god enough kind to use evolution scissors out most of the individuals, so people would not have evolved a wisdom and the spirit of cooperation, the individual kindness is very beneficial to the survival of the gene expression, And systematic kindness will eventually evolve into an inefficient big pot and a waste of resources without principle.
Finally, in the chain of violence suspicion on cast off a tradition of the currency in the world, because each work force countries have veto vote on international affairs, in order to ensure the safety of the whole world all of the people’s wealth is not destroyed by political issues and violence, the United Nations may still because of cultural difference, racial difference, system differences and produce new game Nash equilibrium.
1, racial and cultural differences will not automatically close, cultural confrontation could still exist for a long time, the ideas of the community of human unity may take a long, around the immigration rights and racial debate still can affect the stability of the human community for a long time, and the internal game once above a certain boundary, is likely to cause a certain number of violence and confrontation. This requires the reform of the system itself to have both a good direction and a sufficient degree of smoothness. The path of radicalism is not desirable, and it is more important to be as steady as possible rather than as fast as possible.
2, if the future currency agreement appear larger holes, such as upgrading, minimum units satoshi changed into smaller units, a major human disaster caused by institutional reform, and changing the direction if caused by collision of different interest groups, and finally can’t agree, the rules of the game will tear the structure, and even global economic rent problem, this possibility does not necessarily occur, but it is still possible, and possibility to solve this problem, you need more human community culture of mutual trust.
- In the bitcoin world, the economic growth of the whole world economy may slow down or even stagnate. In inflation system, it can create or increase the money multiplier to increase the money scale, the scale of monetary growth would promote the rise of asset prices, rising asset prices in promoting the investment scale and industrial scale expansion, thus forming on the GDP Numbers very dreamy exponential growth for a long time, but the printed GDP only have better sensory stimulation, do not have long-term sustainable economic potential, so after the return of honesty monetary system, the human will have to face a dismal GDP questionnaire, most of zero growth and negative growth will become the norm, The bitcoin world will quickly eliminate backward production capacity and inefficient industries, and the economic growth will finally be reflected by the growth of bitcoin’s purchasing power, so as to truly achieve the synchronism of economic growth and the growth of people’s wealth, and the price is that people must face a more brutal economic reality, rather than the illusion of being cheated by the bubble.
COINS in the world after solved the problem of the traditional world violence, brought a series of new social development, these problems are not immutable, advance the these problems thought of a problem than the unprepared later is more important, it is also to the new paper for the future of the world, but I still believe that even if can’t solve some problems in our times, can be resolved in the future will be a new world of human, solve the new problems are caused by the new world is a new opportunity to the people in the future, the answers to these questions is to people looking for the future.
Systematic point of view mostly finished these days, there is no tomorrow, for these views have any question and puzzled or correct can be up for discussion, these things when I was a few years ago from research BTC began, have been in thinking notes, but there are a lot of BTC, so a lot of things didn’t want to know, contact BSV after last year, a lot of views is sequence, these views is a systemic view of over the years, this a few months of communication is also looking for a foothold and cut into the perspective of these views, for your reference, not necessarily right.
Thank you for your support. This is the record of the organized chat group since it was established, and everyone can read it for free. As for the publishing of the book, there is no hurry now. Contact 2013 COINS of the concept of time, felt he could cause deflation of disaster, so didn’t go to touch it, in 2015 the currency deflation logic of some related historical data to find again, found that the existing explanation of deflation and economic crisis is very far-fetched, so he had to find a point of view, namely deflation crisis because of lack of currency unit, solved the thinking obstacles to the modeling of the currency world building, but a few years down has not figured out the relationship between the currency and the legal system, until after the access to the BSV, feel that the world of the currency of key nodes are figured out, In fact, after a long period of slow thinking and theoretical verification, it is still not easy to overthrow a set of mature theoretical system (keynesianism) from the root, so this theory is just an attempt, anything that has not been tested by practical practice still needs to be observed and polished.
next chapter : Recreating Economics based on Bitcoin 8 : 万链归一
CONTENTS (目录) #
比特币经济学 : 首页
比特币经济学 1 : 开讲
比特币经济学 2 : 法律
比特币经济学 3 : CSW
比特币经济学 4 : 法币崩溃
比特币经济学 5 : 核心概念定调
比特币经济学 6 : 经济危机 HOT !!!
比特币经济学 7 : 路径 HOT !!!
比特币经济学 8 : 万链归一
比特币经济学 9 : 产业区块链
比特币经济学 10 : 去中心化
比特币经济学 11 : 代际剥削
比特币经济学 12 : 族群矛盾
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